Sales around the province have surged back to pre-COVID-19 levels in June. These may be temporary as pent up demand could be a factor helping push this demand forward. I am continually watching and monitoring to see if prevailing trends will remain.
The question I am asked the most these days is what is the Real Estate outlook for the central Island area? As difficult as it is to predict how long it will take for Canada's housing market to recover, one thing for certain is that the impact in our area will be less affected.
2019 Housing Market ends on a positive note with growth expectations for 2020.
Sales of single-family homes in December increased by 40% from one year ago and were 24% lower than in November.
As 2019 winds up we are witnessing conditions that reflect seasonal norms. 2020 will see a tightening of inventory which will balance supply and demand. With more clarity, interest rates projected to hold, we expect this momentum and sustained demand to carry through into 2020 and the latest outlook from the Conference Board of Canada forecasts real GDP growth of 1.8% for 2020 and 1.9% in 2021.
Reviewing the market across Canada helps give me a pulse on our local market as many buyers I work with come from out of Nanaimo. In this report, I have included a few more national statistics with home sales in the Canadian MLS® Systems staying somewhat steady in October which followed a string of monthly increases that began in March.
Sales of single-family homes in September were virtually flat year over year but dipped by 16 per cent from August. However, apartment and townhouse sales rose by 15 per cent and 11 per cent year over year, respectively.
Residential sales in every B.C. region forecast to recover in 2020.
Total home transactions across province expected to rise 11 per cent versus 2019, with average sale prices also predicted to increase in every area.
Sales of single-family homes in May board-wide dropped by 12 per cent but rose by 11 per cent from April. Last month, 459 single-family homes sold on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System compared to 412 the previous month and 519 in May 2018. Sales of apartments dipped by seven per cent year over year while townhouse sales increased by 19 per cent. The British Columbia Real Estate Association reports that on a seasonally adjusted basis, sales in the VIREB area are close to 2014 levels, and current market conditions are expected to continue into the fall.
Guideline B-20 Stress test continues to impact housing sales in BC but Vancouver Island is a bit more sheltered. The Vancouver Island Real Estate Board, which stretches from North of the Malahat on Vancouver Island, reported sales of single-family homes in February dropped by 28% year over year but were up 10% from January.
Despite lower demand year-over-year benchmark prices of single-family homes continue to rise board-wide, up around nine per cent from January 2018. Price increases in individual markets ranged from five per cent in Nanaimo to 17 per cent in Port Alberni. Although Vancouver Island has felt the effects of the mortgage stress test. Also referred as Guideline B-20. The toll on single-family housing sales throughout the province in January dropped by 28 per cent from one year ago, albeit they did rise by 23 per cent from December 2018. General demand is lower while potential Buyers adjust however there still is very little supply in active price points keeping the markets somewhat balanced.
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